Showing posts with label polling data. Show all posts
Showing posts with label polling data. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 31, 2007

Does the GOP wish to kiss off another voting block?

In the last two elections, the Hispanic vote has been about 8% of the electorate.

That is why I find this Steven Malanga article to be disingenuous.

Why?

Look at the African-American voting share. In the least two elections, it has been at 11 and 10 percent, respectively.

In both elections, it is a 89-10 split, or 9 to 1. In essence, the GOP is down by a net of 8 percentage points in a good year. In a bad year, it is close to 9.

Now, take the 8% Hispanic vote and give the Dems a 70-30 split. That is 5.6 to 2.4, or a net loss of 3.2 percent in the national popular vote.

And we are to believe that Hispanic voting clout is a myth.

I think I'm gonna say this myth has NOT been busted.

Friday, May 25, 2007

The lay of the land...

According to a poll done for CBS and the New York Times, a majority favor the components of the compromise immigration bill. 66% of Republicans favor the plea bargain in this compromise. In other words, two out of three Republicans are satisfied with fining the illegal immigrants and letting them stay here.

The writing is on the wall. It has wide support from a silent majority - almost a silent supermajority, one could say. So who is really out of step, the politicians, or the bloggers, columnists, and talk show hosts who are fighting this bill? If so, then it could be yet another good sign for Rudy Giuliani.